The John Deere Classic has one of the weakest fields annually, and is played on one of the easiest courses the player will play all season. I find this combination makes these round by round bets tougher to hit, as the course is less demanding on the players, which can elevate the play of the weaker players in the field. 

I already have a ton of units committed to this event for the whole weekend, which I have broken down in the preview I will link below:

John Deere Classic - Preview & Best Bets

For now, I am going to dip my toes into the round 1 markets with one three ball match up that I am going to break down, and give my thoughts on…

Garrick Higgo (+115) vs. Erik Van Rooyen vs. Jim Herman

To start, Higgo has clearly been playing the best golf of these three recently, he has made four of his last six cuts, whereas Van Rooyen has missed the cut in six straight starts and Herman has missed six of his last eight starts, finishing no higher than 67th, while Higgo has finished top 50 in three of his last four starts this season. 

Higgo’s better results than these two guys can be backed up by his ball striking recently. Higgo has gained strokes off of the tee in eight of his last nine events, he can be inconsistent on the approach at times, but so can the other two in this group. 

Van Rooyen has not struck it well recently at all, he has lost strokes off the tee in 10 straight events, and has been below the field average in driving accuracy in five of his last six starts, which is a huge part of having success here at TPC Deere Run. He has also lost a total of -8.07 strokes on approach in his last four starts on tour. He’s got something seriously wrong with his swing, and I don’t think he’ll have had time to fix it after playing in the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

As for Herman, he is the only one in the group with any history at TPC Deere Run over the past five years. He has attended this event twice over that stretch, he missed the cut in 2020, and then finished T28 in 2021 after a great week putting, which certainly isn’t his calling card as he ranks 168th on tour in strokes gained putting. 

On top of that I think he has something broken in his swing as well as he has lost strokes on approach in nine straight starts, and in three of his last five on approach. I think this is a great spot to jump on Higgo here , a guy who has been comfortable striking the ball recently against two guys who have struggled in that area. Hopefully Higgo can jump out to an early lead before one of these two can find some consistency. 

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