Pick 5: Douggie Hamilton Under 2.5 shots on goal (+135)
Carolina is one of the best in league at limiting shots at home. Â My model has them, as a home team, giving up 26% fewer shots than average. Â Douggie Hamilton has been very good lately and defense independent I would expect him to register about 3.2 shots in this game. However, when bringing in Carolina it drops all the way to about 2.4 which is below the 2.5 line. Â If the odds were different this would not be a play but getting +135 on something that I think is greater than 50% of happening is a lot of value so I'll add another pick and go with Douggie Hamilton under 2.5 SOG tonight.
Pick 5: Douggie Hamilton Under 2.5 shots on goal (+135)
Carolina is one of the best in league at limiting shots at home. Â My model has them, as a home team, giving up 26% fewer shots than average. Â Douggie Hamilton has been very good lately and defense independent I would expect him to register about 3.2 shots in this game. However, when bringing in Carolina it drops all the way to about 2.4 which is below the 2.5 line. Â If the odds were different this would not be a play but getting +135 on something that I think is greater than 50% of happening is a lot of value so I'll add another pick and go with Douggie Hamilton under 2.5 SOG tonight.
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