Pick 1: Jake Guentzel under 3.5 shots on goal (-155)
A good week last week going 5-1 and looking to continue that trend into the new week. Just one hockey pick today as part of the short slate and will bet on the Hurricanes limiting shots at home just like last night. Despite overtime we hit on Robertson going under as the Canes gave up 30 shots which is actually a lot for them at home. That bumped their expected shots against up very slightly but they are still giving us 27% less shots than expected at home this year.
Guentzel actually had 8 shots in his las game but was under that total in the previous 2. I have him projected for 2.2, well under the 3.5 number and there's enough value even at the -155 line to go with him today for LIIC.
Pick 1: Jake Guentzel under 3.5 shots on goal (-155)
A good week last week going 5-1 and looking to continue that trend into the new week. Just one hockey pick today as part of the short slate and will bet on the Hurricanes limiting shots at home just like last night. Despite overtime we hit on Robertson going under as the Canes gave up 30 shots which is actually a lot for them at home. That bumped their expected shots against up very slightly but they are still giving us 27% less shots than expected at home this year.
Guentzel actually had 8 shots in his las game but was under that total in the previous 2. I have him projected for 2.2, well under the 3.5 number and there's enough value even at the -155 line to go with him today for LIIC.
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