Pick 5: Tage Thompson over 4.5 shots on goal (+120)
Mixed bag last night going 1-1 with LIIC but coming out positive on the day thanks to 3-1 with the Islanders players and fading the Coyotes. With a back to back for the Coyotes, nothing changes about them defensively and it should be even a little easier to get shots on goal.
We're going to come right back and go with Thompson over 4.5 shots at plus money. He's hit this number is 2 of his last 3 and 3 of his last 5. He's facing a very weak Coyotes team when it comes to giving up shots and we're getting plus money for a pick he's hit more often than not this month.
My model has him with just over 5.1 shots so there's enough value here for me to grab the plus money and go with Thompson over 4.5 shots on goal for LIIC.