Pick 2: Auston Matthews over 4.5 Shots on Goal (-110)
I know I just mentioned in my last post unders have been better but that's not true when taking overs where I predict more than a shot greater than the line. My model has him getting just a shade under 6 shots in this matchup. Matthews has hit this total in 3 of his last 5 and 2 of his last 3 home games. This pick is heavily influenced by who he is facing though.
Anaheim gives up a ton of shots, especially on the road where they give up an astounding 30% more shots on goal than the average team. This is a great spot for the Leafs and I have Nylander over his total along with Tavares. Ultimately Matthews is the highest rated so Ill go with him.
Pick 2: Auston Matthews over 4.5 Shots on Goal (-110)
I know I just mentioned in my last post unders have been better but that's not true when taking overs where I predict more than a shot greater than the line. My model has him getting just a shade under 6 shots in this matchup. Matthews has hit this total in 3 of his last 5 and 2 of his last 3 home games. This pick is heavily influenced by who he is facing though.
Anaheim gives up a ton of shots, especially on the road where they give up an astounding 30% more shots on goal than the average team. This is a great spot for the Leafs and I have Nylander over his total along with Tavares. Ultimately Matthews is the highest rated so Ill go with him.
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