JLazzy's Monday Night Football Picks
Dionte Johnson U43.5 receiving Yards (-110 1 Unit)
Matt Ryan Longest Pass Completed U36.5 Yards (-114 1 Unit)
Parris Campbell O44.5 receiving yards (-110 1 Unit)
Pat Freiermuth O48.5 receiving yards (-110 1 Unit)
MNF Parlay (+422 0.5 Unit):
Jonathon Taylor 70+ Rushing Yards (-210)
Parris Campbell 40+ Receiving Yards (-158)
Pat Freiermuth 40+ Receiving Yards (-198)
Najee Harris 40+ Rushing Yards (-380)
JLazzy's NCAAM Picks
Troy +17.5 @ Arkansas (-110 1 Unit)
Troy has had a great start to their season with a 6-1 overall record and are 3-1 ATS. They are a top-20 scoring team in the country at 86 points per game which is almost 9 points per game more than Arkansas. These two teams though are very closely matched. They're within 1 point of each other in points against per game, 0.5% apart in FG% and inside 3 apart in rebounds per game, assists per game, blocks and steals per game too. Troy leads in all those categories except blocks which Arkansas leads by 0.9 per game. All that said, I still think Arkansas is going to win the game. There's a reason that they're favored by 17.5 points. They are a far more talented team but, Troy is playing well together and spread their points out in the team with 7 players that score 9 or more points per game. I think the game will be close and Arkansas will probably pull away in the end but I believe Troy can keep this close for awhile and stay within the 17.5 points.
Northwestern -7.5 vs Pitt (-105 1 Unit)
Northwestern are the only favorite that I'm picking tonight. They've been having a great season for them so far with an overall record 5-1 and are 4-2 ATS. The Wildcats have played some great teams as well and have shown that they can compete. In their last game they played Auburn who many think are one of the best teams in the country and NW only lost to them by 1 point. They also handily beat Liberty and Georgetown and covered the spread in both of those games. Pitt is currently 4-3 overall with a 3-3-1 record ATS but, the games they've won were against teams they were supposed to beat. In the 3 games they were underdogs they are 0-3 and 0-2-1 ATS. For whatever reason it seems that people are betting on Pitt and moving the line down so, if you want to watch and see how low you can get it, I'm on board with that. I think Northwestern can win this one fairly easily and should cover the spread with not much trouble.
Seattle University +5.5 @ Washington (-114 1 Unit)
Seattle is another team that is scoring at an unbelievable rate so far on the season. They are top-8 in points per game at 88.6 which is almost 20 more points per game than Washington. Both teams are practically even at points against per game only separated by 0.3 points and Seattle holds an almost 6% advantage from the field. Seattle sit at 5-0 overall on the season and recently beat a very good Portland team who beat Villanova and went toe-to-toe with a surging Michigan State team and barely lost by 1 to the Spartans. So, Seattle are no slouches. Washington isn't a team to be taken for granted either. They're 5-1 and are coming off an overtime win against Saint Marys who were undated going in but, hadn't really faced anyone of notice. I think the main advantage lies with Seattle almost doubling Washington in assists and shooting over 8% better from beyond the arc. If they can keep that going I don't Washington has the guards to defend against that and, at the very least, Seattle should be able to keep it within the 5.5 point spread.
Sam Houston +4.5 @ Nevada (-114 1 Unit)
Full disclosure here but, I didn't know much about Sam Houston coming into this season. They have put themselves on notice though and, I see them now. They come into this game 6-0 overall and 4-0 ATS. One of those wins was against Oklahoma where Sam Houston were 16.5 point underdogs are were able to take the win outright IN Norman, Oklahoma. They've also won outright against a very good Utah team where Sam Houston were 10 point underdogs. So, this is a very good Sam Houston team. They also score over 81 points per game while only allowing under 49 points per game. The line opened up at Sam Houston +2.5 so, Vegas thought it to be a close game. In Nevada's only 2 real games of consequence they lost to a Kansas State team that is looking pretty good and barely beat an Akron team they probably should have done better against. Everything on paper says that SH should win this one and I don't see why they won't but, I'm going to stick with the points in case of it being a game coming down to a last shot.
Teaser +6 (+225 0.5 Unit)
Omaha +24.5 --> +30.5 @ Mississippi State
Texas Southern +23.5 --> +29.5 @ Kansas
Troy +17.5 --> +23.5 @ Arkansas
Seattle U +5.5 --> +11.5 @ Washington
JLazzy's Monday Night Football Picks
Dionte Johnson U43.5 receiving Yards (-110 1 Unit)
Matt Ryan Longest Pass Completed U36.5 Yards (-114 1 Unit)
Parris Campbell O44.5 receiving yards (-110 1 Unit)
Pat Freiermuth O48.5 receiving yards (-110 1 Unit)
MNF Parlay (+422 0.5 Unit):
Jonathon Taylor 70+ Rushing Yards (-210)
Parris Campbell 40+ Receiving Yards (-158)
Pat Freiermuth 40+ Receiving Yards (-198)
Najee Harris 40+ Rushing Yards (-380)
JLazzy's NCAAM Picks
Troy +17.5 @ Arkansas (-110 1 Unit)
Troy has had a great start to their season with a 6-1 overall record and are 3-1 ATS. They are a top-20 scoring team in the country at 86 points per game which is almost 9 points per game more than Arkansas. These two teams though are very closely matched. They're within 1 point of each other in points against per game, 0.5% apart in FG% and inside 3 apart in rebounds per game, assists per game, blocks and steals per game too. Troy leads in all those categories except blocks which Arkansas leads by 0.9 per game. All that said, I still think Arkansas is going to win the game. There's a reason that they're favored by 17.5 points. They are a far more talented team but, Troy is playing well together and spread their points out in the team with 7 players that score 9 or more points per game. I think the game will be close and Arkansas will probably pull away in the end but I believe Troy can keep this close for awhile and stay within the 17.5 points.
Northwestern -7.5 vs Pitt (-105 1 Unit)
Northwestern are the only favorite that I'm picking tonight. They've been having a great season for them so far with an overall record 5-1 and are 4-2 ATS. The Wildcats have played some great teams as well and have shown that they can compete. In their last game they played Auburn who many think are one of the best teams in the country and NW only lost to them by 1 point. They also handily beat Liberty and Georgetown and covered the spread in both of those games. Pitt is currently 4-3 overall with a 3-3-1 record ATS but, the games they've won were against teams they were supposed to beat. In the 3 games they were underdogs they are 0-3 and 0-2-1 ATS. For whatever reason it seems that people are betting on Pitt and moving the line down so, if you want to watch and see how low you can get it, I'm on board with that. I think Northwestern can win this one fairly easily and should cover the spread with not much trouble.
Seattle University +5.5 @ Washington (-114 1 Unit)
Seattle is another team that is scoring at an unbelievable rate so far on the season. They are top-8 in points per game at 88.6 which is almost 20 more points per game than Washington. Both teams are practically even at points against per game only separated by 0.3 points and Seattle holds an almost 6% advantage from the field. Seattle sit at 5-0 overall on the season and recently beat a very good Portland team who beat Villanova and went toe-to-toe with a surging Michigan State team and barely lost by 1 to the Spartans. So, Seattle are no slouches. Washington isn't a team to be taken for granted either. They're 5-1 and are coming off an overtime win against Saint Marys who were undated going in but, hadn't really faced anyone of notice. I think the main advantage lies with Seattle almost doubling Washington in assists and shooting over 8% better from beyond the arc. If they can keep that going I don't Washington has the guards to defend against that and, at the very least, Seattle should be able to keep it within the 5.5 point spread.
Sam Houston +4.5 @ Nevada (-114 1 Unit)
Full disclosure here but, I didn't know much about Sam Houston coming into this season. They have put themselves on notice though and, I see them now. They come into this game 6-0 overall and 4-0 ATS. One of those wins was against Oklahoma where Sam Houston were 16.5 point underdogs are were able to take the win outright IN Norman, Oklahoma. They've also won outright against a very good Utah team where Sam Houston were 10 point underdogs. So, this is a very good Sam Houston team. They also score over 81 points per game while only allowing under 49 points per game. The line opened up at Sam Houston +2.5 so, Vegas thought it to be a close game. In Nevada's only 2 real games of consequence they lost to a Kansas State team that is looking pretty good and barely beat an Akron team they probably should have done better against. Everything on paper says that SH should win this one and I don't see why they won't but, I'm going to stick with the points in case of it being a game coming down to a last shot.
Teaser +6 (+225 0.5 Unit)
Omaha +24.5 --> +30.5 @ Mississippi State
Texas Southern +23.5 --> +29.5 @ Kansas
Troy +17.5 --> +23.5 @ Arkansas
Seattle U +5.5 --> +11.5 @ Washington
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