Pick 4: Roman Josi Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-145)


Nashville averages 29.4 shots/game, 30.9 per game at Home. Coyotes allow 34.8 shots/game and 33.7 per game on road. I'm expecting a higher volume for the Predators than their average suggests. 

Josi is one of the best shooting defenders in the league. Not many guys on D so consistently hit shot lines of 3.5. He's hit this in 5 of his last 10 overall, but at home he is a different kind of player. He's cashed in 7 of 9 home games this season with an average of exactly 5 shots on goal per game. Last season he cashed this line in all three meetings against Arizona, with an average of 5.67 shots on goal per game, and has earned 4+ in 9/15 H2H match-ups going back to 2017. Have not seen an alt line for him yet, but if you can get 5+ for at least +125 I highly recommend a unit on it.