It was an unbelievable day yesterday on twitter for me, gaining over 300 followers in less than 24 hours off the back of an 11-1 run on Monday & Tuesday, only fitting after a day like that I fall flat on my face and come up with a 1-4 performance last night. 

I had the reads on the games correct, just didn't get the shots from the guys we needed them from, so I'm still feeling confident coming into today's slate, and I am going to start the day by talking everyone's favorite prop team, the Florida Panthers. 

Aaron Ekblad Over 2.5 Shots On Goal (-125) @ DraftKings Sportsbook  

Ekblad had another unfortunate start to the year, going down with another injury, but since his return to the ice he has covered in both games he has played and is averaging 5.4 shot attempts per game through his first five games this season. 

Given the small sample size, I looked back at Ekblad's numbers at home last season, and come to find out that he covered in 68% of the games he played at home last season, and tonight the Florida Panthers will be at home matching up with the Dallas Stars who have allowed 33.48 shots per game on the road, which is 3.5 more shots allowed per game than their average shots allowed at home. 

On the other hand, the Panthers have been firing away at home, which is nothing new, but they are currently averaging the most shots for per game at home this season, averaging 40.65 shots per game at home. 

I don't think you can go wrong backing any of these Panthers shooters tonight, however this angle jumped out at me because the Stars are allowing the 12th most shots per game to defencemen, and have allowed the oppositions top defenceman to cover in seven of their last 10 games, and Ekblad averaged five shot attempts per game against Dallas last season. 

Aleksander Barkov Over 3.5 Shots On Goal (-110) @ DraftKings Sportsbook  

Barkov has been an absolute machine covering this line over the past couple weeks covering in eight of the Panthers last 10 games, and has covered in five straight games, as well as covering in his last five home games. 

As I talked about in the Ekblad breakdown, the Panthers are matching up with the Stars tonight, a matchup that Barkov really thrived in last season, having five or more shots in both games while averaging 8.0 shot attempts in those two games. 

So what's the concern here? Well, Barkov isn't exactly shooting with the high volume you would expect to be covering this 3.5 line consistently, averaging 6.2 shot attempts per game over his last five games. But his volume does see a small spike when playing at home, averaging 6.8 shot attempts over his last five home games. 

Although the volume might not be as high as you'd like to see it when betting an over 3.5 line, Barkov has consistently proven he is an accurate shooter, and has hit the net with 70.96% of his shot attempts over the last five games. 

Something else I found interesting here, doesn't have to do with Barkov, but his line mate Matthew Tkachuk. All be it with a different team, last season  Tkachuk only covered in two of the 10 games he played against the Stars last season, while only attempting 4.9 shots per game in those matchups. I think this may open up a few extra shot opportunities for Barkov, in a match up that he has had success in, in the past, the Panthers shooters have been a wagon at home so far this season, and I see no reason to stop backing them anytime soon 

Carter Verhaeghe Over 2.5 Shots On Goal (-145) @ DraftKings Sportsbook  

Someone in the Panther's organization must have told Verhaeghe to start firing away. Dating back to the beginning of last season Verhaeghe is only averaging 4.3 shot attempts per game. However, over the last 10 games he has that average up to 6.9 attempts per game, and a flat 7.0 attempts per game over his last 5. 

Verhaeghe has covered this line in six straight games, have four or more shots in all six games, and has covered in six of seven home games this season, and in both games against the Dallas Stars last season, averaging 6.0 shot attempts per game in those two matchups. 

Bit of a heavy price to pay on this one, Tkachuk struggling against the Stars last season, and Verhaeghe flying past this line consistently I am comfortable laying the juice here.