Pick 4: J. Randle over 8.5 rebounds (1.83 on Bet365)

Risk 2u

Julius Randle averages 9.1 rebounds per game this season, and has covered this line in 3 out of last 5 matches. Two times when he didn't cover, he grabbed 8 boards. Utah is 10th easiest match-up for opposing PFs to grab boards (10.29 rebounds per game).

The spread is set at 4.5 in favor of Jazz, so we could expect a close game, while the total of 232.5 points gives a impression of a high scoring game - what I see here is a high shot volume, rather than efficient scoring.

Randle's conversion rate (rebounds/rebound chances) in the 3 matches he covered this line was 70% (his season average is 60%). Given the high total points, I expect a lot rebounding chances for Julius.

Good luck!