Pick 3: J. Poeltl over 11.5 pts (1.80 on FanDuel)

Risk: 3 units

 I like this line A LOT. GSW are the worst C defense and Poeltl is very capable of exploiting defensive liabilities - even though he's often not credited for it. 

He averages 12.1 PPG this season, but that number is much lower than it should've been. In his last 3 games, he's playing 33 minutes per game and scores 13.7 PPG during the stretch (15 pts vs Bucks, 22 vs Grizzlies, and 4 pts vs Nuggets).  

The Warriors allow 27.65 PPG to opposing Cs, and 50.9 PPG in-the-paint. They're the worst defense on C position, and paint. 

Keldon will most probably get switched on by Draymond and Wiggins, so Poeltl will have plenty of space to get few layups and dunks. This line will move up - I'd say 13.5 would be a correct line on this one tonight.