Pick 2: A. Davis over 23.5 pts (1.83 on Bet365)

Risk: 2 units

Lakers and Nets are probably two the most underwhelming teams this season, both team's ships are sinking and they need to turn their course towards the better days. Lakers desperately need hot shooting hands, and they're just not getting it - their best 3PT shooter is Lonnie Walker IV.

To make things worse for them, LeBron James is GTD and it's still unsure if he'll play (adductor strain). I'm taking Davis points because this line will move upwards - or stay like this if James plays.

Davis has been consistently doing well on the pitch, and he's averaging 23.1 points on 17.2 FGA per game (53% shooting). He's getting back into his gear, and he should pull most of the weight without James. The Nets are not loaded with bodies who can stop AD once he gets into the paint, despite them being one of teams who allow the least points to opposing Cs (19.2 ppg), as the nets are one of the worst defenses of the paint.

The Nets are 3rd worst defense when it comes to defending their bucket from the paint, as the allow 52.5 PPG from the paint to the opponents. But, let's not forget that AD used to play PF a lot, and is very capable of hitting shots outside the paint as well, so we should see him dominating the offense for the Lakers - especially because James is questionable.

The Nets are B2B, and their fatigue could become very visible tonight, as Lakers are 3rd in pace (104.6), and only GSW and Timberwolves are faster teams than them. Nets like to take it slow, but I expect Lakers to exploit on the pace against B2B Nets.