Pick 4: R. Gobert over 13.5 pts (1.95 on Bet365)
Risk 2u
The man we faded few days ago is coming back into the play, but this time I do not like him in the under bet. One thing is certain, Gobert is absolutely terrible to bet on, but I'm willing to give him a chance to have 7 dunks this night against the Suns who are starting Biyombo instead of Ayton (OUT).
Rudy averages 14.1 PPG this season in 32.4 minutes on the floor, getting 9.4 FGA and sinking them at 60,60%. Not great, but we have to take into the account that Wolves were still adjusting Gobert, KAT and Ant in the same team, and it seems they found their pace.
Rudy performs well against teams with centers who are shorter than him (23 & 15 pts vs OKC, 22 vs Lakers who were then without AD), as he can then easily dunk on people. He's not a shooter, nor is he agile under the rim when he has to create his own space with ball handling, but he can dunk - and that's what I'm counting on today.
His points are in direct correlation with rebounds, and if he can get putbacks tonight, that's easy 14+ points for Rudy. Pine projects him at 13.76 points tonight, but at almost 15 rebounds as well, so I think he can get a little bit of a "push" tonight for an over thanks to offensive rebounds.
The Suns are not the best C defense, especially without Ayton. They're currently allowing 22.24 PPG and 15.54 rebounds per game to opposing C's, but that doesn't take Ayton out of the equation, so I believe Rudy will get few more chances tonight against Biyombo.
Pick 4: R. Gobert over 13.5 pts (1.95 on Bet365)
Risk 2u
The man we faded few days ago is coming back into the play, but this time I do not like him in the under bet. One thing is certain, Gobert is absolutely terrible to bet on, but I'm willing to give him a chance to have 7 dunks this night against the Suns who are starting Biyombo instead of Ayton (OUT).
Rudy averages 14.1 PPG this season in 32.4 minutes on the floor, getting 9.4 FGA and sinking them at 60,60%. Not great, but we have to take into the account that Wolves were still adjusting Gobert, KAT and Ant in the same team, and it seems they found their pace.
Rudy performs well against teams with centers who are shorter than him (23 & 15 pts vs OKC, 22 vs Lakers who were then without AD), as he can then easily dunk on people. He's not a shooter, nor is he agile under the rim when he has to create his own space with ball handling, but he can dunk - and that's what I'm counting on today.
His points are in direct correlation with rebounds, and if he can get putbacks tonight, that's easy 14+ points for Rudy. Pine projects him at 13.76 points tonight, but at almost 15 rebounds as well, so I think he can get a little bit of a "push" tonight for an over thanks to offensive rebounds.
The Suns are not the best C defense, especially without Ayton. They're currently allowing 22.24 PPG and 15.54 rebounds per game to opposing C's, but that doesn't take Ayton out of the equation, so I believe Rudy will get few more chances tonight against Biyombo.
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