Pick 1: Lazio to win (1.50 on Betway)

Before I start reasoning my pick here, I'd like to bring this first:  I absolutely hate betting on Lazio. 

Lazio is currently sitting in 3rd place, while Salernitana is 11th, and that kind of justifies why Lazio is so heavily favored today. 

Biancocelesti are coming into this match after a mid-week success against Midtjylland in Europa League, despite the absence of Ciro Immobile, and they could transfer the energy to the today's match as well. Important note is that Lazio played at home against Midtjylland, so they didn't spend time traveling - which could give them a very much needed rest.

Lazio are very well balanced team, and surprisingly, a defensive unit. In last 11 games, Lazio kept a clean-sheet in 7 of them, allowing only 5 goals! Considering the league, this is a fantastic number on the stats sheet (Napoli, a top team, allowed 9 goals - let that sink in). 

Today they're yet again without their top scorer Ciro Immobile (thigh injury), but they're not backpedaling - because Sergej Milinković-Savić, Pedro, Mattia Zaccagni and Felipe Anderson have come forward and secured much needed points for Lazio. They also managed to win against Atalanta in Bergamo, which really showed they do not (so far) need Immobile to win.

Lazio won 4 out of last 5 Serie A matches, and they also kept a clean sheet in their last 6 Serie A matches. They're also in a goal-scoring form, as they've scored 2+ goals in 5 of their last 6 Serie A matches. 

The Granata aims for the top 10 on the table, and I'm not quite convinced they'll make a statement game today. They're winless on the road in 5 matches. However, they did manage to pull 2 wins in last 5 matches (vs Spezia, and vsv Verona). 

In their last 5 away matches they've conceded a total of 10 goals. They lost their last 2 away matches (2-0 vs Inter, and 5-0 vs Sassuolo). Obviously, not a defensive unit, but they do find a net occasionally. I don't think they'll manage to do so against Lazio today.

Lazio and Salernitana met twice last season, and Lazio took all points in their meetings, as both matches ended with a 3-0 Lazio win.

Despite their tightened schedule, I'm backing Lazio to take all 3 points on Stadio Olimpico today.