Today the play of the day is Roansy Contreras Over 1.5 Walks. The Yankees are the highest walk rate team in the league this year so far. Contreras is a pitcher that walks a ton of guys and loses his command a lot. Contreras averages 2.3 walks on the road this year. As we all know Judge would walk at least once this game vs Contreras maybe twice. 

In the last 11 games for Contreras he's hit 9/L11 for the over 1.5 walks. Usually pitchers vs the yankees hit there walk props early in the game because the yankees work counts and they have too pitch around them. Every start that Contreras had vs high walk rate teams has hit that in every start. Contreras walk rate this year is 9.8% which is a poor number to have as a pitcher. He has a 3 pitch arsenal, but really throws 2 pitches mainly the fastball at 50%. There are 5 players in the Yankees lineup that have a great walk % this year and those guys are; Judge, Stanton, Donaldson, Rizzo, and Hicks. The books have it -125 for the under for walks, but Contreras is in a great spot to hit this line vs the Yankees. So today look for Contreras to get 2 walks or more today vs a hot Yankees team that will walk and get base hits today.