Sonny Gray Over 4 Ks on PrizePicks is a great play for today. Gray lately has been pitching really well on the mound for the Twins. Going back to the last 10 starts for Gray he's posted a 1.73 ERA through those starts. Today he has a tough matchup vs the Guardians. As we know that the Guardians are not a huge strikeout team, but in the last 2 weeks they have a 21% K rate vs RHP. Nothing to crazy high, but for the Guardians that is kind of a high number for a team that puts the ball in play a lot. 

In the last 10 games Gray has hit this prop 8 times, pushed once, and missed once. In that stretch he did face teams that do have a low strikeout rate and still hit his strikeout prop. Gray has been sitting good between 5-8 strikeouts through those 10 games. What helps Gray a lot is that the Guardians have poor Hard Hit% which for Gray throwing that sinker will get a lot of swing and misses. The Guardians chase % has gone up the last 2 weeks also, but for the full season they are sitting around mid 30s to low 40s for that percentage. Back with Gray for the season so far his K% is sitting at 24.3% this year. Sitting at 24.3% is a great number for a pitcher like Sonny Gray. With his 6 pitch arsenal, Gray normal throws 5 pitches at good percentages. His 4 higher percentage pitches are the 4 seam, sinker, curveball, and slider.