Alvin Kamara (NO) over 59.5 Rushing Yards (-108)

Line available at Caesars Sportsbook at time of publishing.

Alvin Kamara enters the 2022 campaign with big expectations. He will be leaned upon to carry the New Orleans offense in all types of ways. With Jameis Winston fresh off an ACL tear that he sustained last season in week 7, expect the Saints to run Kamara early and often. The run game will be Winston's best friend as he should thrive in the play-action this season. In the 7 games the duo played together, Kamara rushed for at least 60 yards in 5 of them which included a record 5-2 to start the season. It's simple, give your best player the football and he will make things happen.

The Saints opponent in week 1 will be division rival the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons enter this season with low expectations. They acquired former number 2 overall pick Marcus Mariota to lead them at the helm. The Falcons rush defense is not one to lose sleep over. They allowed the 6th most rushing yards on the season at 2,242 for an average of 4.3 yards per carry. 

Kamara is extremely familiar with this Falcons squad as he plays them twice a year. In week 17 last season, Kamara rushed for 140 yards on 30 carries as you can see on the chart below. In his career when facing the Falcons and he revives at least 10 carries, Kamra is over this line in 5 of 8 games. Expect a game script that will allow Kamara to get the ball from start to finish as the Saints are almost 6-point favorites.