Pick 2: Baltimore Orioles +0.5  F3 (-180)

8/21 7:10pm (-180 Odds via Caesars Sportsbook) 

In an even matchup, I like the Baltimore Orioles to be tied or winning at the end of the third inning. Given they're the home team, they will have the opportunity to match or exceed what the Red Soxs produce at the top of each inning. The safety net of being able to tie or be leading is what makes this a great bet, as there is only one scenario this loses out of three possible outcomes. In a nearly even split moneyline, I like the Orioles due to there being two possible outcomes out of three needed to win. The starting pitching matchup here favors the Orioles as well, as Boston's Pivetta has a higher ERA of 4.28 compared to Baltimore's 3.58 ERA in Kremer.