I was looking at the totals for tonight's all star game and the totals line is currently at 7.5.
Year | AL | NL | Stadium |
2021 | 5 | 2 | Coors Field (NL) |
2019 | 4 | 3 | Progressive Field (AL) |
2018 | 8 | 6 | Nationals Park (NL) |
2017 | 2 | 1 | Marlins Park (NL) |
2016 | 4 | 2 | Petco Park (NL) |
2015 | 6 | 3 | Great American Ball Park (NL) |
2014 | 5 | 3 | Target Field (AL) |
2013 | 3 | 0 | Citi Field (NL) |
2012 | 8 | 0 | Kauffman Stadium (AL) |
2011 | 5 | 1 | Chase Field (NL) |
2010 | 3 | 1 | Angel Stadium of Anaheim (AL) |
2009 | 4 | 3 | Busch Stadium III (NL) |
2008 | 4 | 3 | Yankee Stadium II (AL) |
2007 | 5 | 4 | AT&T Park (NL) |
2006 | 3 | 2 | PNC Park (NL) |
2005 | 7 | 5 | Comerica Park (AL) |
2004 | 9 | 4 | Minute Maid Park (NL) |
2003 | 7 | 6 | U.S. Cellular Field (AL) |
2002 | 7 | 7 | Miller Park (NL) |
2001 | 4 | 1 | Safeco Field (AL) |
2000 | 6 | 3 | Turner Field (NL) |
AVERAGE | 5.19 | 2.86 |
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Looking at All-Star games over the past 20 years, the average is 8.05 and the standard deviation is 3.44. If you look at my old "z-score" posts. We can build out a distribution here. That gets us to a 44% chance of the under and a 56% chance of the over tonight. Converted to money-lines, that's +144 for the under and -127 for the over. Right now the line is -115/-105. There may be some slim value in the over tonight. BOL!
knicker-bocker
I was looking at the totals for tonight's all star game and the totals line is currently at 7.5.
Looking at All-Star games over the past 20 years, the average is 8.05 and the standard deviation is 3.44. If you look at my old "z-score" posts. We can build out a distribution here. That gets us to a 44% chance of the under and a 56% chance of the over tonight. Converted to money-lines, that's +144 for the under and -127 for the over. Right now the line is -115/-105. There may be some slim value in the over tonight. BOL!
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