Pick 3: Logan Gilbert Strikeouts Over 4.5 (-133 on Betway)
First off, this play is -146 on Fanduel and -155 on Draftkings. If you have Betway, take this on Betway. These jumps may seem small but over the long run the price makes a big big difference. A $10 bet here would profit $6.45 on Draftkings versus $7.50 on Betway with Fanduel splitting the difference. Consider this your daily PSA to shop around and find multiple sports books to play on.
Logan Gilbert has hit this line in 7 of his last 10 starts overall and 7 of 10 on the Road. His average is right at 5.9 strikeouts per start no matter how you look at it and has even thrown for 7+ Ks in 5 of his last 10 Road Starts.
San Diego batters are averaging a pretty solid 4.9 Ks per game against starting pitchers since the beginning of June, but have allowed the last four starters faced to earn 8 Ks, 6 Ks, 8 Ks, and 8 Ks for an average just above 7 per game in this short stretch. I'm jumping on the trend, and Logan's decent consistency, for this game tonight.
Another factor playing a part is that my model really really likes Seattle in this game, despite being Road Underdogs. Shoutout to @mikeytomatoes for the leg work on this ML model, which had an 11-2 day yesterday including four correct underdog selections.
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Pick 3: Logan Gilbert Strikeouts Over 4.5 (-133 on Betway)
First off, this play is -146 on Fanduel and -155 on Draftkings. If you have Betway, take this on Betway. These jumps may seem small but over the long run the price makes a big big difference. A $10 bet here would profit $6.45 on Draftkings versus $7.50 on Betway with Fanduel splitting the difference. Consider this your daily PSA to shop around and find multiple sports books to play on.
Logan Gilbert has hit this line in 7 of his last 10 starts overall and 7 of 10 on the Road. His average is right at 5.9 strikeouts per start no matter how you look at it and has even thrown for 7+ Ks in 5 of his last 10 Road Starts.
San Diego batters are averaging a pretty solid 4.9 Ks per game against starting pitchers since the beginning of June, but have allowed the last four starters faced to earn 8 Ks, 6 Ks, 8 Ks, and 8 Ks for an average just above 7 per game in this short stretch. I'm jumping on the trend, and Logan's decent consistency, for this game tonight.
Another factor playing a part is that my model really really likes Seattle in this game, despite being Road Underdogs. Shoutout to @mikeytomatoes for the leg work on this ML model, which had an 11-2 day yesterday including four correct underdog selections.
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