Pick 3: Total First Five Innings Score Under 5 (-105 on Draftkings)

Today's matchup in Toronto features a couple of starting pitchers that are not allowing many earned runs against so far this season. On the Road, Michael Wacha (BOS) has only allowed an average of 2 earned runs against per game and has allowed less than 2.5, his ERA line tonight, in four of six road games. Ross Stripling (TOR) has allowed Under 2.5 Earned Runs in 10 of his last 10 games overall AND 9 of 9 at Home with an average of only 0.89 earned runs against per game. Already it seems like a good setup for a low scoring game. 

When we look at the head to head battle so far this season, out of eight games played these teams have only exceeded 5 runs in the First Five in two of eight games (25%) yet their line for Under 5 tonight is nearly even money. Out of the five games played in Toronto, only one of them exceeded 3 runs in the first five, let alone 5 runs. The average first five score H2H this season is exactly 3 runs per game, and that drops to 2.8 runs per game when playing in Toronto.

Given these averages and the implied odds of 51.22%, I am really liking this option for tonight. 

First Five Total Score H2H



First Five Total Score H2H in Toronto


BOL!