Pick #1: Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-135) DK

As I was getting ready to write this up I wanted to make sure no one else had taken it already and came across this great post from Yinzbets (https://pine-sports.com/post/6441/manoah-racking-up-the-wins/)

Manoah has been great all year and is a frontrunner for the Cy Young but he has been even better at home, record wise, going a perfect 4-0 in 5 starts.  He has a pristine 1.8 ERA and in 4 night games has an ERA around 1.10

On the other side the Orioles are throwing Kyle Bradish.  Bradish sports an WHIP of nearly 1.6 on the year and has gotten shelled on the road with 8 earned runs in 10 innings.  It's a small sample size but his ERA 5.90 in 30 innings at home tells you this probably isnt an anomaly.  

The Blue Jays have started hitting better as a team.  Springer is back at the top of the lineup.  Bichette is righting his ship and Vlad Jr went deep again yesterday. 

This is one of the rare games where the sharps and public are on the same side. The odds have been moving towards the Blue Jays and I wouldn't be surprised to see this finish in the -150 area.