Pick #1: Carlos Rodon over 6.5 strikeouts (-120) MGM

I would probably be taking this bet at 7.5 or even 8.5 tonight.  Carlos Rodon is a different pitcher at home. Overall his ERA is inflated because of a beating he took in St Louis but he has been solid all year at home.  He is striking out over 14 batters per 9 at home this year and averaging just a shade under 10 strikeouts per start at home.  He also faced the Rockies in SF last month where he went 6 innings, giving up one earned and striking out 12.  

The Rockies are normally a tougher team to strikeout but they have been struggling a bit lately. They have punched out over 30 times over their last 3 games and they are not the same team away from Coors. 

A team striking out a lot, heading into SF to face Rodon is a good recipe for Rodon K's.  I'll take over 6.5 Ks even at the -120 price.  I wouldn't be surprised to see this close at 7.5 so I'm posting before lineups are out in hopes of getting the best number.