Pick 2: Over 2.5 cards (1.61 on Bet365)

Expected this line to open higher, but 2.5 is a must-take line. 

Watford last 5 games averages 3 cards per game, while Leicester averages 3.8 game cards total. Both teams have gone over 2.5 cards in 4 out of last 5 matches. 

In those splits, Watford is shown 1.4 cards per game, while their opponents are shown 1.6 cards. Leicester is bit rough team, so they're shown 2.2 cards per game, while their opponents are shown 1.6 cards per game.

Today the referee will be Australian Jarred Gillett. He had 8 appearances in Premier League this season and he averages 4 cards shown per game. It's difficult for a foreigner to keep the game under control, unless they use cards. 

Last game he was ref in the match between Southampton and Crystal Palace, and he shown 4 cards in 1st half already! Game before that, Newcastle vs Leicester, he has shown a card in the very first minute to Amartey! Game before that was West Ham vs Astson Villa and that's when he showed only 1 card. However, game preeceding that one was Aston Villa vs Leeds united and he has shown 6 yellow cards and 1 red.

Obviousky, Gillett is a bit soft for the EPL currently, and he tries to keep the game under control with cards. I don't expect anything else but that today as well.

Good luck!