Werder to win & 3-4 total goals (2.65 at 1xBit)

Werder Bremen chases a promotion spot to make their return to Bundesliga 1, a top-flight German competition. They're one of iconic clubs in Germany, and seeing them in Bundes 1 would be great news.

Today they're facing already relegated Aue who lost 6-0 against Darmstadt last fixture. So why 3-4 goals only? Well, Werder has seen a form decline, struggling to take all 3 points home (drew 3 out of last 5 matches). However, I do believe they'll take it al today to Bremen, but not a high margin like we've seen against Aue last fixture. I expect 1-3 at top here, so 2.65 odds here are fantastic value.

Aue stats last 5 home matches:

  1. 3.4 goals per game
  2. 2.2 goals per game conceded
  3. 1.2 goals per game scored
  4. 1.36 xG (expected goals)
  5. 1.35 xGA (expected goals against)

Werder Bremen stats last 5 away matches:

  1. 3.6 goals per game
  2. 2.2 goals per game scored
  3. 1.4 goals per game conceded
  4. 2.26 xG (expected goals)
  5. 1.39 xGA (expected goals against)

Werder won 3 out of last 5 away matches, , however only 1 of those has been 3-4 goals (2 others have seen 5 goals total). Still, only 40% last 5 away matches has seen over 3.5 goals, while 80% has seen over 2.5 goals. 

I expect them to step up today, get out of the form slump as Aue is perfect chance to do so.

Bet placed at 1xBit - not sure if I've seen anywhere else this combo. Try bet builders though.

Good luck mates!

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