Pick #3: James Harden Under 31.5 PR (-120)
Harden has not hit this line in 10 straight games nor has he hit this in both games against the heat. Over the past 10 games he is averaging 22.5 PR. Yes, I know Embiid is out tonight but that hasn't affected Harden's numbers much this season playing without Embiid. If you look at the year. Harden's PR total has been clearly trending down since the beginning of February. He has only hit the over in 5 games since the beginning of March. In the past month, Miami is giving up the 2nd fewest points to the SG position. Harden definitely has the potential to come out and have a great game and blow this out of the water, but the numbers tell me that this is the side of the bet I want to be on. The Pine Sports robot agrees with me on this and projects 21.56 points tonight with a whopping 96.98% projected win rate. I am taking the Under.
Pick #3: James Harden Under 31.5 PR (-120)
Harden has not hit this line in 10 straight games nor has he hit this in both games against the heat. Over the past 10 games he is averaging 22.5 PR. Yes, I know Embiid is out tonight but that hasn't affected Harden's numbers much this season playing without Embiid. If you look at the year. Harden's PR total has been clearly trending down since the beginning of February. He has only hit the over in 5 games since the beginning of March. In the past month, Miami is giving up the 2nd fewest points to the SG position. Harden definitely has the potential to come out and have a great game and blow this out of the water, but the numbers tell me that this is the side of the bet I want to be on. The Pine Sports robot agrees with me on this and projects 21.56 points tonight with a whopping 96.98% projected win rate. I am taking the Under.
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