Tonight's NHL slate is full of value spots, and three in particular stick out for potential shots on goal.
The teams I've circled are the Philadelphia Flyers, Ottawa Senators and Pittsburgh Penguins. There are a few viable options amongst these lineups, but three players rise above the rest for me.
Travis Konecny
Konecny gets a Detroit Red Wings team that has been getting pummeled with shots lately.
In their past ten games, Detroit is allowing 37.6 shots per game, the second-highest mark in the NHL.
Detroit: Shots Allowed Last Month
The above visualizes the shot volume poured on against this team, seeing upwards of 40 SOG per game in their last few.
With the departure of Claude Giroux, shot volume is up for grabs in Philadelphia, and Travis Konecny's recent production is worth our attention tonight in a favorable spot.
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Despite two down games, the Pine prop projection tool likes his over here, projecting a win rate at 70.39%.
Detroit has also been generous to right wing shots, where Konecny presides.
Betting to win 1u: Travis Konecny over 2.5 SOG (-125 DK)
Brady Tkachuk
Tkachuk is a volume king in Ottawa, with 44 shot attempts in his past four games, an absurdly high number.
A potential explanation for this uptick in volume is the injury to defensemen Thomas Chabot, who was averaging 3.0 shots per game this season.
With a void to fill, Tkachuk has been delivering. A quick look at his recent shot totals:
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The Pine model loves the over here, projecting Tkachuk to finish with 5.42 SOG.
He'll get his opportunities against an Islanders team that has been vulnerable to shots no matter where they're located.
New York Islanders: Shots Allowed Since Feb. 26
The Islanders are right behind the aforementioned Red Wings, allowing the third-most shots per game in the NHL in their last ten games (35.2).
With the attempts Tkachuk is getting off, and the Islanders recent vulnerabilities, I expect him to reach his SOG number tonight.
Betting to win 1u: Brady Tkachuk over 3.5 SOG (-110 DK)
Evgeni Malkin
There are so many options on the Pittsburgh side tonight, given the amount of shots the Columbus Blue Jackets let up.
It's hard to ignore just how much the Pine prop projector loves Evgeni Malkin tonight.
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Malkin has covered this 2.5 line in six of ten, putting up a mammoth 16 SOG in his past two games.
The prop projector has this win-rate at 80.87%, with implied odds at -422.
Now, I'll note here that Rickard Rakell is making his Penguins debut tonight, with early suggestions pointing to him joining Malkin's line.
While this adds a layer of uncertainty to how they mesh, I trust Malkin's recent shot production and this opponent.
The Blue Jackets haven't played much on the road lately, but when they have, it's been a shot parade.
Columbus: Shots Allowed on Road Last Month
There should be plenty to go around in Pittsburgh tonight, and I like Malkin to keep up his pace.
Betting to win 1u: Evgeni Malkin over 2.5 SOG (-110 DK)
Tonight's NHL slate is full of value spots, and three in particular stick out for potential shots on goal.
The teams I've circled are the Philadelphia Flyers, Ottawa Senators and Pittsburgh Penguins. There are a few viable options amongst these lineups, but three players rise above the rest for me.
Travis Konecny
Konecny gets a Detroit Red Wings team that has been getting pummeled with shots lately.
In their past ten games, Detroit is allowing 37.6 shots per game, the second-highest mark in the NHL.
Detroit: Shots Allowed Last Month
The above visualizes the shot volume poured on against this team, seeing upwards of 40 SOG per game in their last few.
With the departure of Claude Giroux, shot volume is up for grabs in Philadelphia, and Travis Konecny's recent production is worth our attention tonight in a favorable spot.
Despite two down games, the Pine prop projection tool likes his over here, projecting a win rate at 70.39%.
Detroit has also been generous to right wing shots, where Konecny presides.
Betting to win 1u: Travis Konecny over 2.5 SOG (-125 DK)
Brady Tkachuk
Tkachuk is a volume king in Ottawa, with 44 shot attempts in his past four games, an absurdly high number.
A potential explanation for this uptick in volume is the injury to defensemen Thomas Chabot, who was averaging 3.0 shots per game this season.
With a void to fill, Tkachuk has been delivering. A quick look at his recent shot totals:
The Pine model loves the over here, projecting Tkachuk to finish with 5.42 SOG.
He'll get his opportunities against an Islanders team that has been vulnerable to shots no matter where they're located.
New York Islanders: Shots Allowed Since Feb. 26
The Islanders are right behind the aforementioned Red Wings, allowing the third-most shots per game in the NHL in their last ten games (35.2).
With the attempts Tkachuk is getting off, and the Islanders recent vulnerabilities, I expect him to reach his SOG number tonight.
Betting to win 1u: Brady Tkachuk over 3.5 SOG (-110 DK)
Evgeni Malkin
There are so many options on the Pittsburgh side tonight, given the amount of shots the Columbus Blue Jackets let up.
It's hard to ignore just how much the Pine prop projector loves Evgeni Malkin tonight.
Malkin has covered this 2.5 line in six of ten, putting up a mammoth 16 SOG in his past two games.
The prop projector has this win-rate at 80.87%, with implied odds at -422.
Now, I'll note here that Rickard Rakell is making his Penguins debut tonight, with early suggestions pointing to him joining Malkin's line.
While this adds a layer of uncertainty to how they mesh, I trust Malkin's recent shot production and this opponent.
The Blue Jackets haven't played much on the road lately, but when they have, it's been a shot parade.
Columbus: Shots Allowed on Road Last Month
There should be plenty to go around in Pittsburgh tonight, and I like Malkin to keep up his pace.
Betting to win 1u: Evgeni Malkin over 2.5 SOG (-110 DK)
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