Alright, let’s dive into the top 5 Shots On Goal (SOG) props for tonight’s NHL action. With a packed slate of games, there are some great opportunities to target players who have been consistently firing the puck. Below, I’ve highlighted my top picks, breaking down the stats and why I like each one. Let’s get into it!


1. David Pastrnak - Over 3.5 Shots On Goal (-175 at ESPN BET)

David Pastrnak has been a shooting machine, and tonight he faces the Minnesota Wild. Over his last 15 games, Pastrnak has averaged 4.33 SOG with a hit rate of 73.3%. Even though his last 5 games have seen a slight dip (3.4 SOG average), the Pine Sports AI-Powered Projection has him at 4.13 SOG, comfortably above the 3.5 line. With a favorable matchup and his season-long consistency (62.96% hit rate), I’m backing the over here. Check out his full stats here.


2. Brent Burns - Over 1.5 Shots On Goal (-185 at ESPN BET)

Burns has been heating up, especially in his last 10 games, where he’s averaged 3.5 SOG with a 90% hit rate. Tonight, he faces the Winnipeg Jets, who have struggled defensively against his position. The Pine Sports AI-Powered Projection has him at 2.29 SOG, well above the 1.5 line. With his recent usage on the top power play unit and a favorable matchup, this is a strong play. See his detailed stats here.


3. Leon Draisaitl - Over 2.5 Shots On Goal (-135 at ESPN BET)

Draisaitl has been on fire, averaging 4.8 SOG over his last 5 games with an 80% hit rate. He’s also been consistent over his last 10 games, hitting the over 80% of the time. Facing the St. Louis Blues tonight, who have been vulnerable defensively, Draisaitl is projected at 2.91 SOG by Pine Sports. This line feels low given his recent form, making the over a great value. Dive into his stats here.


4. Gustav Forsling - Over 1.5 Shots On Goal (-165 at ESPN BET)

Forsling has been incredibly reliable, hitting this line in 90% of his last 10 games and averaging 2.7 SOG in that span. Tonight, he faces the Washington Capitals, a team he’s had success against in the past (100% hit rate in one prior matchup). The Pine Sports AI-Powered Projection has him at 2.03 SOG, making the over a solid pick. Check out his full breakdown here.


5. Dylan Larkin - Over 2.5 Shots On Goal (-175 at ESPN BET)

Larkin has been a standout performer, averaging 4.6 SOG over his last 5 games with an 80% hit rate. He’s also been dominant over his last 10 games, hitting the over 90% of the time. Facing the Seattle Kraken tonight, Larkin is projected at 3.02 SOG by Pine Sports. With his recent form and a favorable matchup, this is a strong play. View his stats here.


Final Thoughts

These five props offer a mix of high hit rates, favorable matchups, and strong projections. Whether you’re looking for a safe play like Brent Burns or a higher line with value like David Pastrnak, there’s something here for everyone. Let’s cash in tonight! If you have any questions or want to discuss more props, feel free to ask.