Patrick Mahomes has been killing it recently. His passing touchdowns prop of 1.5 for the Black Friday game against the Las Vegas Raiders is looking like a strong play for the OVER. Let’s take a look at why I feel so good about this pick.
Mahomes has been on fire in recent weeks, averaging 2.4 passing touchdowns over his last five games and hitting the over in 80% of those games. This includes a three touchdown performance last week against the Carolina Panthers, where he completed 73% of his passes for 269 yards. His ability to deliver in the red zone has been a key factor in the Chiefs' success this season.
The Raiders' defense has been awful this season, ranking 29th in points allowed per game (28.5) and giving up the sixth-most passing touchdowns (20) in the league. Mahomes has already faced the Raiders once this season, throwing for 2 touchdowns in that game. The Chiefs are 14 point favorites in today’s game, and the KC offense is likely to lean on Mahomes early to build a big lead. With the Raiders missing starting quarterback Gardner Minshew and turning to Aidan O’Connell, Kansas City’s defense could create short fields for Mahomes, increasing his scoring opportunities even more.
Mahomes has a strong chemistry with Travis Kelce, DeAndre Hopkins and surprisingly backup tight end Noah Gray, who has caught 4 touchdowns in the last 2 games! Familiar face Kelce remains a reliable red zone target, while Hopkins has added a deep threat element to the offense, catching three touchdowns since joining the team in Week 8. The return of running back Isiah Pacheco will also help balance the offense, keeping the Raiders' defense off balance and opening up play action opportunities for Mahomes.
Patrick Mahomes' recent form, combined with a favorable matchup against the Raiders' struggling defense, makes the over 1.5 passing touchdowns a strong play. His ability to exploit weak secondaries, coupled with the Chiefs' offensive efficiency, suggests he’ll have no problem delivering multiple touchdown passes in this game. Don’t you dare overthink this. Let’s just go ahead and lock this up and secure that DUB!
Pick: Patrick Mahomes OVER 1.5 Passing TD’s
JP👊🏾🤑
Patrick Mahomes has been killing it recently. His passing touchdowns prop of 1.5 for the Black Friday game against the Las Vegas Raiders is looking like a strong play for the OVER. Let’s take a look at why I feel so good about this pick.
Mahomes has been on fire in recent weeks, averaging 2.4 passing touchdowns over his last five games and hitting the over in 80% of those games. This includes a three touchdown performance last week against the Carolina Panthers, where he completed 73% of his passes for 269 yards. His ability to deliver in the red zone has been a key factor in the Chiefs' success this season.
The Raiders' defense has been awful this season, ranking 29th in points allowed per game (28.5) and giving up the sixth-most passing touchdowns (20) in the league. Mahomes has already faced the Raiders once this season, throwing for 2 touchdowns in that game. The Chiefs are 14 point favorites in today’s game, and the KC offense is likely to lean on Mahomes early to build a big lead. With the Raiders missing starting quarterback Gardner Minshew and turning to Aidan O’Connell, Kansas City’s defense could create short fields for Mahomes, increasing his scoring opportunities even more.
Mahomes has a strong chemistry with Travis Kelce, DeAndre Hopkins and surprisingly backup tight end Noah Gray, who has caught 4 touchdowns in the last 2 games! Familiar face Kelce remains a reliable red zone target, while Hopkins has added a deep threat element to the offense, catching three touchdowns since joining the team in Week 8. The return of running back Isiah Pacheco will also help balance the offense, keeping the Raiders' defense off balance and opening up play action opportunities for Mahomes.
Patrick Mahomes' recent form, combined with a favorable matchup against the Raiders' struggling defense, makes the over 1.5 passing touchdowns a strong play. His ability to exploit weak secondaries, coupled with the Chiefs' offensive efficiency, suggests he’ll have no problem delivering multiple touchdown passes in this game. Don’t you dare overthink this. Let’s just go ahead and lock this up and secure that DUB!
Pick: Patrick Mahomes OVER 1.5 Passing TD’s
JP👊🏾🤑
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