With the line set at 21.5 for Draymond Green's points, assists, and rebounds, the smart money is on the under as the Warriors face a tough Thunder squad.
When it comes to betting on NBA player props, context is everything. As the Golden State Warriors gear up to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder, all eyes will be on Draymond Green and his combined points, assists, and rebounds (PRA) line set at 21.5. While Green is known for his versatility and ability to impact the game in multiple ways, the data suggests that taking the under on this line is the way to go.
First off, let’s talk about the elephant in the room: Steph Curry’s absence. When Curry is sidelined, Green’s production takes a noticeable hit. In games without Curry this season, Green’s PRA averages drop significantly. For instance, in the last five games without Curry, Green has averaged just 18.2 PRA, well below the 21.5 mark. This trend isn’t just a coincidence; it’s a pattern that has been consistent throughout his career. Without Curry drawing defenders and creating space, Green often finds himself in a more limited role, focusing on facilitating rather than scoring.
Adding to the challenge for Green is the return of Isaiah Hartenstein for the Thunder. Hartenstein’s presence in the paint not only bolsters their rebounding but also limits second-chance opportunities for the Warriors. Green, who often relies on his ability to crash the boards, may find it tougher to secure rebounds against a bigger and more physical Thunder frontcourt. In fact, with Hartenstein back in the lineup, the Thunder have seen a significant improvement in their rebounding numbers, which could further diminish Green’s chances of racking up those crucial PRA stats.
While Draymond Green is undoubtedly a key player for the Warriors, the combination of Curry’s absence, the Thunder’s defensive prowess, and Hartenstein’s return all point towards a night where Green may struggle to hit the over on his PRA line. Betting the under on 21.5 for Green’s points, assists, and rebounds is not just a hunch; it’s a calculated decision backed by data and trends. As the game approaches, keep an eye on these factors, and consider the under as a smart play in this matchup.
With the line set at 21.5 for Draymond Green's points, assists, and rebounds, the smart money is on the under as the Warriors face a tough Thunder squad.
When it comes to betting on NBA player props, context is everything. As the Golden State Warriors gear up to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder, all eyes will be on Draymond Green and his combined points, assists, and rebounds (PRA) line set at 21.5. While Green is known for his versatility and ability to impact the game in multiple ways, the data suggests that taking the under on this line is the way to go.
First off, let’s talk about the elephant in the room: Steph Curry’s absence. When Curry is sidelined, Green’s production takes a noticeable hit. In games without Curry this season, Green’s PRA averages drop significantly. For instance, in the last five games without Curry, Green has averaged just 18.2 PRA, well below the 21.5 mark. This trend isn’t just a coincidence; it’s a pattern that has been consistent throughout his career. Without Curry drawing defenders and creating space, Green often finds himself in a more limited role, focusing on facilitating rather than scoring.
Adding to the challenge for Green is the return of Isaiah Hartenstein for the Thunder. Hartenstein’s presence in the paint not only bolsters their rebounding but also limits second-chance opportunities for the Warriors. Green, who often relies on his ability to crash the boards, may find it tougher to secure rebounds against a bigger and more physical Thunder frontcourt. In fact, with Hartenstein back in the lineup, the Thunder have seen a significant improvement in their rebounding numbers, which could further diminish Green’s chances of racking up those crucial PRA stats.
While Draymond Green is undoubtedly a key player for the Warriors, the combination of Curry’s absence, the Thunder’s defensive prowess, and Hartenstein’s return all point towards a night where Green may struggle to hit the over on his PRA line. Betting the under on 21.5 for Green’s points, assists, and rebounds is not just a hunch; it’s a calculated decision backed by data and trends. As the game approaches, keep an eye on these factors, and consider the under as a smart play in this matchup.
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