The Washington Commanders rookie phenom qb Jayden Daniels' rushing yards prop for tonight's game against the Philadelphia Eagles is set at 43.5 yards. Based on the numbers, matchups, and trends I really like the UNDER on this prop and here’s why.
Daniels has struggled to hit his rushing yard totals in recent games. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 32.8 rushing yards. Notably, in his most recent game against the Pittsburgh Steelers, he was held to just 5 rushing yards, which was his season low. This suggests that defenses are starting to figure out how to contain his mobility.
The Eagles' defense is one of the best in the league, particularly when it comes to containing mobile quarterbacks. They rank among the top units in the NFL, and their defensive front, led by players like Jalen Carter and Zack Baun, has been excellent at limiting rushing opportunities for opposing QBs. The Eagles D has stayed way under this 43.5 rushing line against every QB they have faced this season. In fact the most rushing yards a QB has gained against this defensive front is 20 yards!
The Commanders are currently 3.5 point underdogs in this game, and if the Eagles get out to an early lead, Washington may be forced to pass more, limiting Daniels' rushing attempts. Additionally, the Eagles defense has been particularly strong at home, and they will likely focus on keeping Daniels in the pocket, forcing him to beat them through the air rather than with his legs.
While Daniels has shown flashes of brilliance as a dual threat quarterback, the combination of his recent dip in rushing production, the Eagles stout defense, and the potential game script all point toward the under on his rushing yards prop. Let’s not over think this. It’s time to just lock this up and secure that DUB!
Pick: Jayden Daniels UNDER 43.5 Rushing Yards
JP👊🏾🤑
The Washington Commanders rookie phenom qb Jayden Daniels' rushing yards prop for tonight's game against the Philadelphia Eagles is set at 43.5 yards. Based on the numbers, matchups, and trends I really like the UNDER on this prop and here’s why.
Daniels has struggled to hit his rushing yard totals in recent games. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 32.8 rushing yards. Notably, in his most recent game against the Pittsburgh Steelers, he was held to just 5 rushing yards, which was his season low. This suggests that defenses are starting to figure out how to contain his mobility.
The Eagles' defense is one of the best in the league, particularly when it comes to containing mobile quarterbacks. They rank among the top units in the NFL, and their defensive front, led by players like Jalen Carter and Zack Baun, has been excellent at limiting rushing opportunities for opposing QBs. The Eagles D has stayed way under this 43.5 rushing line against every QB they have faced this season. In fact the most rushing yards a QB has gained against this defensive front is 20 yards!
The Commanders are currently 3.5 point underdogs in this game, and if the Eagles get out to an early lead, Washington may be forced to pass more, limiting Daniels' rushing attempts. Additionally, the Eagles defense has been particularly strong at home, and they will likely focus on keeping Daniels in the pocket, forcing him to beat them through the air rather than with his legs.
While Daniels has shown flashes of brilliance as a dual threat quarterback, the combination of his recent dip in rushing production, the Eagles stout defense, and the potential game script all point toward the under on his rushing yards prop. Let’s not over think this. It’s time to just lock this up and secure that DUB!
Pick: Jayden Daniels UNDER 43.5 Rushing Yards
JP👊🏾🤑
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