Tonight, I'm locking in the Bulls over the Knicks even though I'm a huge Knicks fan: here's why.

I like to keep it simple (or as simple as I can) when looking at teams and my go-to for NBA match-ups are three point percentage, field goal percentage, and rebounds. Chicago leads the Knicks this season in two of those three areas: threes and field goals. I think Chicago's nearly 4% edge in three point percentage will give them the extra pump they need to tackle the Knicks.



I also like to bet value. My Predict NBA model has Chicago winning 60% of the time and there is a 5.8% implied player edge by taking the Bulls ML. Based on Chicago's performance this season in key performance metrics, my Predict model showing them as more likely to win, and the player edge, I'm locking them in for tonight. Let's see what happens!