Welcome back gang! Today we are rolling with Mitch Keller to record 6 K's + Patrick Corbin 4 hits allowed -118.

Let's start with Corbin. This will be quick. This is a juice reducer spot for me, not wanting to pay the -170 on Keller straight. Corbin takes on the Dbacks who are top in the MLB in OPS/Batting average against Left handed pitching. Corbin continues to not miss bats, and this Arizona Lineup is loaded with power from the right side. Walker/Gurriel and Marte have all smashed righties over their career, and adding Suarez and Alexander this year, really makes this lineup tough for southpaws to navigate. Corbin has allowed this in every game this year and has over a .300 batting average allowed to both sides of the plate.

Mitch Keller gets a home matchup with the Cincinnati Reds who have been on the struggle bus for a while now. On the road versus right handed pitching, the Reds as a team have an 89 WRC+ and a 26% K rate, ranking them top 5 in K percentage. Keller has hit this in 2 of his last 3 starts and has had great success against the Reds in his career. Across 74 at bats against current Reds Players, Keller has a 28% K rate and only a .230 batting average allowed. Keller so far at home this year has a sub 4.0 Xera and has had more success in strikeouts by about 5%. Lastly, he has been much better against lefties this season, striking out 27% of them versus 19% of righties. In this matchup, really like this spot for Keller facing up to 6 lefties in this lineup today.