Welcome back gang, tonight we are rolling with Bryse Wilson of the Brewers to have under 2.5 earned runs -130 on Draftkings Sportsbook.

Bryse Wilson has done a pretty good job being a fill in this year in the starting rotation. With no Woodruff or Burnes, the staff was looking pretty thin. In steps Bryse Wilson who has done a commendable job so far as a middle of the rotation starter for the Crew. Wilson has a 3-1 record and a 2.84 ERA through 6 starts, and has done a great job limiting damage. His expected batting average is .253, with a hard hit rate of 45%, those numbers don't add up.. unless Wilson continues to induce groundballs at a high rate. At home this season, Wilson has a 40% ground ball rate and that number jumps to 52% versus righties. A lot of the heavy hitters in this lineup are coming from the right side, Wisdom, Suzuki, Hoerner, all in the top 5 of the order all from the right side. Bellinger and Happ are dangerous but are significantly better at home, as are the rest of the Cubs. Cubs are top 5 in the MLB in Home OPS and on the road this season have struggled a bit, to the tune of .663 OPS and .227 batting average as a team. I think Wilson is able to keep the Cubs from reaching the seats, 7 home runs allowed in 42 innings, with only 3 of them coming in his starts spanning 28 innings. Should be a fun matchup for both sides, hoping Wilson can match Imanaga here in this spot.