Welcome back gang! Today we are rolling with Trevor Rogers of the Marlins to allow less than 4.5 hits at +105.
As most of y'all know, I am a pretty big Brewers fan. Unfortunately for me, I will be fading them tonight in a matchup with Trevor Rogers and the Miami Marlins. First, let's talk about Rogers. Rogers has rough numbers on the outside, but he's had a brutal strength of schedule so far to start the season. Taking on the Braves twice, the Phillies, and the A's when they were heating up. Also, Rogers has had a bit of bad luck this season. He's at a 68% left on base percentage at home, a .385 BABIP, which is due for some positive regression. Fortunately for him, he is taking on a bottom 5 team against lefties tonight in the Milwaukee Brewers. The Brewers have been stellar against RHP, 2nd in the MLB with a .268 batting average and .764 team OPS. Against lefties, its been a different story. Batting only .215 against southpaws, almost a 29% K rate, but that is not all. This matchup takes place in Miami tonight, not in American Family Field, where the Crew struggles as well. The Brewers are 3rd in OPS at home on the season, at .788, on the road sitting at .720. Lastly, we seen the Brewers last night really struggle against another lefty in Ryan Weathers, he went deep enough in to the game where we may not need Rogers to get through the order 3 times, but when he is out there, I am expecting him to be effective.
Welcome back gang! Today we are rolling with Trevor Rogers of the Marlins to allow less than 4.5 hits at +105.
As most of y'all know, I am a pretty big Brewers fan. Unfortunately for me, I will be fading them tonight in a matchup with Trevor Rogers and the Miami Marlins. First, let's talk about Rogers. Rogers has rough numbers on the outside, but he's had a brutal strength of schedule so far to start the season. Taking on the Braves twice, the Phillies, and the A's when they were heating up. Also, Rogers has had a bit of bad luck this season. He's at a 68% left on base percentage at home, a .385 BABIP, which is due for some positive regression. Fortunately for him, he is taking on a bottom 5 team against lefties tonight in the Milwaukee Brewers. The Brewers have been stellar against RHP, 2nd in the MLB with a .268 batting average and .764 team OPS. Against lefties, its been a different story. Batting only .215 against southpaws, almost a 29% K rate, but that is not all. This matchup takes place in Miami tonight, not in American Family Field, where the Crew struggles as well. The Brewers are 3rd in OPS at home on the season, at .788, on the road sitting at .720. Lastly, we seen the Brewers last night really struggle against another lefty in Ryan Weathers, he went deep enough in to the game where we may not need Rogers to get through the order 3 times, but when he is out there, I am expecting him to be effective.
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