Welcome back gang, time to cash in on another Pine Prop of the Day. Today our bet is going to be the Pittsburgh Pirates TTO 3.5 -115.

As y'all know, I am a Brewers fan, a pretty big one, but today I am heading to the visitors side of this one. Joe Ross takes the bump against the Bucs in this one and I am ready to fade him at this point in the season. Ross only has an 18% k rate on the year, and has really struggled at home, to the tune of a 8.1 ERA. His underlying numbers do expect a bit of a drop off. 4.99 XFIP against lefties with a 3.4 actual FIP and a 4.79 FIP versus 6.14 XFIP at home. The Pirates offense isn't great but they have been much better lately. Bryan Reynolds has a .302 batting average away from home and has a .542 slugging over last 7 days. O Niel Cruz could be the hottest hitter in baseball with a 1.450 OPS over the last 7 days. With the negative regression from Ross and the left handed loaded Pittsburgh lineup I am expecting a few crooked numbers put up throughout this one and the bullpen from the Crew is reeling with injuries. Rolling with the Pirates TTO 3.5 -115.