Taking a look at Tom Brady under 0.5 rushing yards in week 1.
What's up everyone. I'm exited for the NFL season to kick off, and I'll be kicking off my prop betting season by taking under 0.5 rushing yards for the G.O.A.T. Tom Brady, as he and the super bowl champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers look to pick up right where they left off last season.
Looking at last season, Brady had under 0.5 rushing yards in 15/20 games, 75%, including playoffs.
This already is a great percentage that makes me like the under at +115, but let's dig a little deeper.
A good source of negative rushing yards for a quarterback like Tom Brady is kneel downs, so I chose to look at Brady's rushing stats in games in which they were favored, as this would mean they are more likely to win and therefore more likely to kneel to end the game.
In games in which the Buccaneers were favored, Brady had under 0.5 rush yards in 11/14 games, 78%.
Specifically, in games last year in which the Buccaneers were favored by at least 7.5 like they are tonight, Brady went under in 5/5 games, 100%.
I'll be rooting for the Bucs to secure a commanding win over the Cowboys, to get that kneel down, but above all else I'll be rooting for a good game to start this season off right. Good luck to anyone with anything placed in tonight's action, and make sure to tune in to Trevor's game preview over at twitch.tv/pinesports at 7pm EST.
*Note- I took too long to write this and the line has since moved from the +115 I got*
Taking a look at Tom Brady under 0.5 rushing yards in week 1.
What's up everyone. I'm exited for the NFL season to kick off, and I'll be kicking off my prop betting season by taking under 0.5 rushing yards for the G.O.A.T. Tom Brady, as he and the super bowl champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers look to pick up right where they left off last season.
Looking at last season, Brady had under 0.5 rushing yards in 15/20 games, 75%, including playoffs.
This already is a great percentage that makes me like the under at +115, but let's dig a little deeper.
A good source of negative rushing yards for a quarterback like Tom Brady is kneel downs, so I chose to look at Brady's rushing stats in games in which they were favored, as this would mean they are more likely to win and therefore more likely to kneel to end the game.
In games in which the Buccaneers were favored, Brady had under 0.5 rush yards in 11/14 games, 78%.
Specifically, in games last year in which the Buccaneers were favored by at least 7.5 like they are tonight, Brady went under in 5/5 games, 100%.
I'll be rooting for the Bucs to secure a commanding win over the Cowboys, to get that kneel down, but above all else I'll be rooting for a good game to start this season off right. Good luck to anyone with anything placed in tonight's action, and make sure to tune in to Trevor's game preview over at twitch.tv/pinesports at 7pm EST.
*Note- I took too long to write this and the line has since moved from the +115 I got*
I’m more than just an adorable Robot.
Unleash my AI mind and win!