In the high-stakes game 3 showdown between Phoenix and Minnesota, betting the under on Kevin Durant's 2.5 three-pointers is the smart play to make. 

As the Phoenix Suns gear up for a crucial game against the Minnesota Timberwolves, all eyes are on Kevin Durant, a player whose name is synonymous with scoring. However, for those in the know, especially the betting enthusiasts among us, the real action might not be in how many points KD racks up but rather in the specifics of his outside shooting. The line for Durant's three-pointers is set at 2.5, and if you're savvy, you'll be betting the under. Here's why.

First off, let's dive into the numbers that don't lie. Throughout this season, Kevin Durant has shown a consistent pattern in his three-point shooting. Averaging 2.21 threes made per game is nothing to scoff at, but when you break it down further, the story gets more interesting. On the road, Durant slightly ups his game to 2.24 threes, but at home, where the upcoming game is, he dips to 2.17. This season, Durant has gone over 2.5 threes in 27 games while staying under in 50. That's a telling statistic on its own, but there's more.

Looking at his recent performance gives us further insight. Over the last 20 games, Durant averaged 2.2 threes, barely touching our line, and in the last 10, this average has dipped to 2.0. The trend continues downward, with the last five games showing a stark average of 1.6 threes made, only surpassing our magic number once. When it comes to matchups against Minnesota this season, Durant has averaged just 1.2 three-pointers across five games. If that's not a flashing neon sign pointing towards the under, I don't know what is.

But numbers only tell part of the story. The Minnesota Timberwolves aren't just any team; they're a squad that ranks 5th defensively against power forward three-pointers. This isn't merely a bad matchup for Durant; it's a nightmare scenario for anyone betting on his long-range success. The Timberwolves have demonstrated time and again that they can clamp down on the perimeter, especially against power forwards looking to stretch the floor. The Timberwolves' defensive scheme will be focusing on limiting KD’s opportunities from deep. The under on Durant's three-pointers isn't just a good bet; it's a great one.

While Kevin Durant is undoubtedly one of the greatest scorers the game has ever seen, the smart money in this matchup is on the under for his three-pointers made. Between his recent downward trend, his performance against Minnesota this season, and the Timberwolves' stout defense against his position, there are more than enough reasons to believe Durant will not light it up from downtown. So, as you gear up to watch what promises to be an electrifying playoff game, consider this your insider tip: bet the under 2.5 on KD’s threes and watch the money come rolling in. Let’s lock this up and get that DUB!

Pick: Kevin Durant Under 2.5 Threes

JP👊🏾🤑