Pick #2: Rijeka ML (Unibet @1.57)

NK Istra 1961 are 8th with 28 points from 29 matches. They won just six, drew ten, and lost 13 with a -22 goal difference. On the other hand, Rijeka are the first-placed team with 65 points in 29 matches. They won 20, drew five, and lost four with a +37 goal difference. 

Rijeka will not slip against one of the weaker teams in the league. Istra are in terrible form, failing to win in the last five games. In the last game, against Dinamo Zagreb, they were demolished by 4:1 and could easily concede more. At home, they were solid in recent matches, but those games were against much weaker teams like Lokomotiva Zagreb, Gorica, Rudes, etc... 

Rijeka won seven in a row, including two Cup games vs Rudes and Lokomotiva Zagreb. Their defense have been absolutely incredible, considering they kept a clean sheet every time during that seven-game run! Still, Dinamo Zagreb are five points behind, and with a game played fewer, Rijeka cannot afford to lose points here. In the last h2h game, Rijeka easily won 3:0, and I think we will see another win for them, most likely while keeping a clean sheet.