The Grand Canyon Antelopes are set to defy the odds against Alabama with their impressive ATS record, making them the smart bet to cover the +5.5 spread. 

As the NCAA Tournament continues to unfold with its usual blend of drama and surprises, one matchup that's catching the eye of savvy bettors and hoops fans alike is the showdown between the Grand Canyon Antelopes and the Alabama Crimson Tide. While Alabama might have the higher seed and name recognition, a deep dive into the numbers and recent trends suggests that putting your faith in the Antelopes to cover the +5.5 point spread is a move as sharp as a step-back three pointer.

First off, let's get into Grand Canyon's performance against the spread (ATS). With a stellar record of 5-1 ATS on neutral courts this season, and an even more eye popping 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games played in March, the Antelopes aren't just sneaking past expectations, they're blowing them out of the water. These aren't just numbers on a page but they're a testament to a team that consistently outperforms and rises to the occasion when the lights are brightest.

But wait, there's more. Grand Canyon's ATS magic isn't limited to just any game scenario. When cast in the role of the underdog, a position they find themselves in against Alabama, the Antelopes are 3-0 ATS this season. This isn't just a case of getting lucky in close games; it's a consistent pattern of thriving under pressure and proving doubters wrong.

Now, let's break down the matchup specifics. Grand Canyon's playstyle is a key factor in their ATS success. They're a team that doesn't just settle for any shot; they attack the rim with purpose, a strategy that not only leads to high-percentage looks but also puts the opposing team in foul trouble. Against an Alabama team that has shown a propensity to allow points in the paint and struggles with defensive efficiency (117th at KenPom), the Antelopes' approach will not only keep the game close but potentially swing it in their favor.

Moreover, Grand Canyon's defensive strategy plays directly into Alabama's weaknesses. The Crimson Tide's high octane offense is predicated on fast breaks and shooting a high volume of threes. However, the Antelopes have shown they can slow the game down and force teams into taking uncomfortable, contested shots. This strategy was on full display in their first round upset of Saint Mary’s.  This ability to dictate the pace and make every possession count will be crucial in not just covering the spread but possibly pulling off the upset.

But it's not just about strategies and playstyles. The Antelopes boast star players such as Western Athletic Conference player of the year Tyon Grant-Foster. He’s a dynamic scorer and defensive presence, who's no stranger to big moments. His ability to impact the game on both ends of the floor, along with the team's overall depth and resilience, gives Grand Canyon more than just a fighting chance against the Crimson Tide.

While Alabama comes into this game with the higher seeding and the national spotlight, the smart money is on Grand Canyon to cover the 5.5 point spread. With their proven ATS track record, especially in high stakes games and as underdogs, combined with a strategic matchup advantage, the Antelopes are primed to make Sunday's game a lot closer than many expect. So, if you're looking to back a team that's defied the odds and turned heads all season long, look no further than Grand Canyon. In the madness of March, they have the skills to make a Cinderella run. Let’s lock this up and get this DUB!

Pick: Grand Canyon +5.5

Sprinkle: Grand Canyon ML

JP👊🏾🤑