Pick #8: North Texas ML (-130 BetMGM)

**North Texas Poised for Victory Over Memphis Tigers**

In Thursday's American Athletic Conference showdown, the North Texas Mean Green prepare to clash with the Memphis Tigers, and there's a compelling betting opportunity on the moneyline — favoring North Texas to secure the win. Here's why this wager could pay off handsomely.

Despite Memphis boasting an 18-6 overall record, a closer look reveals that their performance might not be as dominant as their record suggests. With numerous narrow victories, Memphis could easily have a less impressive 13-10 or 12-11 record. On the other hand, North Texas has been competitive in their losses, with 8 of their 10 defeats decided by just 5 points or fewer, indicating they've been unlucky in close contests.

Although North Texas faces some injury concerns with key players Rubin Jones and C.J. Noland sidelined, their depth and defensive prowess remain strong. Conversely, Memphis will be missing their top scorer, Caleb Mills, and has shown vulnerability without him on the court, particularly struggling offensively due to a lack of depth.

North Texas boasts a formidable defense, ranked in the top 40, capable of challenging any opponent. Despite recent narrow defeats, including losses by just 3 points to strong teams like UAB, FAU, and SMU, the Mean Green are primed for a rebound victory, especially given their impressive home record.

With North Texas performing solidly against the spread in recent outings and demonstrating strength at home, coupled with Memphis' struggles to cover the spread this season, backing North Texas on the moneyline appears to be a prudent choice for bettors seeking value in this matchup.