Banking on the over for Jusuf Nurkic's rebounds and assists is the savvy move as he shows up in a big way when the Suns clash with the Bucks.

Jusuf Nurkic, the Phoenix Suns' center, has been a consistent double-double threat throughout the season, and as the Suns gear up to take on the Milwaukee Bucks, all eyes are on his combined rebounds and assists line set at 13.5. Based on recent performance and the potential absence of key Bucks players, tipping the scales for Nurkic to exceed this number looks like a shrewd bet.

Let's break down the numbers. Nurkic is averaging 13.98 rebounds and assists for the season. While some might say it's a close call with the line set at 13.5, it's essential to look at the trends. Over his last 10 games, the Bosnian big man is averaging a strong 14.7 rebounds and assists. More than just a couple of good games, this trend suggests that Nurkic is finding his groove, particularly when we consider that he's gone over the 13.5 line in 5 of those 10 games.

Now, let's talk home court advantage. It's no secret that players often perform better in the comfort of their own arena, and Nurkic's stats affirm this, with an average of 13.75 rebounds and assists at home. The Footprint Center will be buzzing with energy, and Nurkic tends to feed off that vibe, making his chances to go over even more likely.

The Milwaukee Bucks coming into town isn't just any game; it's a potential playoff preview that could set the tone for postseason matchups. With the Bucks possibly missing key pieces due to injuries, the door swings wide open for Nurkic to exploit a weakened frontcourt. The Bucks' injury report reads like a novel with Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) and Brook Lopez (personal) among those who might be sidelined or limited. This is a significant factor because it's not just about who Nurkic is going up against, but also about the opportunity for increased production with potential gaps in the Bucks' defensive setup.

Furthermore, the Suns' offense is no joke, ranking high in efficiency, and Nurkic plays a pivotal role in that system. His ability to set screens, roll to the basket, and pass out of the post will be crucial against a Bucks team that has been struggling with pick and rolls - a stat that Kevin Durant has been exploiting ruthlessly, scoring 1.06 points per possession. If the Bucks double-team Durant or the Suns' sharpshooters, Nurkic will be the release valve, likely racking up assists alongside his boards.

Lastly, let's not overlook the psychological aspect of the game. Nurkic is the type of player who rises to the occasion, and with the Suns cementing their status as a top-six team in the West after a rocky start, you better believe that Nurkic wants to make a statement in high-stakes games like this one. It's not just about the points; it's about sending a message, and what better way to do so than by dominating the boards and dishing out assists left and right?

In conclusion, when you put together the trend of Nurkic's recent performances, the Suns' home court advantage, the potential absence of key Bucks players, and the sheer significance of this game, it all aligns to suggest that Jusuf Nurkic hitting over 13.5 rebounds and assists is more than just a possibility - it's the smart play. So, as you settle in to watch this electrifying matchup, keep an eye on Nurkic's stat line. The big man is ready to show Milwaukee and the rest of the league that when it comes to the Suns' success, he's a pivotal piece of the puzzle.