With Fred VanVleet on the sidelines, expect Jalen Green to eclipse the 20.5 points line against the Pacers, continuing his hot streak in VanVleet's absence.

As the Houston Rockets gear up for their showdown against the Indiana Pacers, all eyes are on the high-flying Jalen Green. With the sharpshooter Fred VanVleet riding the pine due to injury, Green has the green light to take over the offense—something he's done with gusto in VanVleet's absence. Tonight's matchup is no exception; I'm riding the wave and calling it now: Green is smashing the over on his 20.5 points line.

Let's break it down. In the 10 games without his backcourt mate, Green has been nothing short of a scoring machine. The stats speak for themselves: he's covered the over on his points line in 6 of those matchups. That's a 60% hit rate for all you betting aficionados. The kid's got a knack for stepping up when the Rockets need a boost, and with VanVleet out, he's been the go-to guy to light up the scoreboard.

But it's not just the absence of VanVleet that's got me convinced Green's going to tear it up. The Pacers' play style is another factor fueling my confidence. Indiana's been experimenting with their lineup, trying to find that sweet spot with new boy Pascal Siakam and returning All-Star Tyrese Haliburton. While they're busy finding their groove, Green's going to exploit the gaps and get his shots. And let's not forget, the Pacers are coming off a confidence-boosting win against the Hornets. They'll be aggressive, sure, but that just means more back-and-forth action—perfect for an athletic scorer like Green.

Speaking of tempo, Green's comments post-Timberwolves clash were telling. He knows his team's strength lies in their athleticism and speed, and he's itching to push the pace. If the Rockets can rebound and force turnovers like they aim to, Green will find himself with more fastbreak opportunities, which he's more than capable of converting into points. Plus, the Pacers might be a tad slower with Haliburton still on a minutes restriction, giving Green even more chances to capitalize.

Now, it's not all roses and sunshine. Green did have a rough outing shooting 3-of-15 against the Timberwolves, but that's an outlier, not the norm. Shooters shoot, and Green's got the shooter's mentality to shake off a bad game. Expect him to come out with guns blazing, looking to make a statement. He's not the type to stay down for long, and a bounce-back performance is on the cards.

What's more, the Rockets are hungry for a win on this road trip, and Green's their main offensive weapon. They're going to feed him the ball, and he's going to eat. With his athleticism and ability to score from anywhere on the court, Green is a threat to go off on any given night. And tonight, against the Pacers, it feels like the stars are aligning for him to do just that.

So, there you have it. The Rockets may be the underdogs going into this matchup, but when it comes to Jalen Green hitting over 20.5 points, I'm all in. The kid's got the skills, the opportunity, and the motivation to put up big numbers. It's not about a 'sure thing' or a 'safe bet'—those are phrases better left unsaid. It's about reading the tea leaves, understanding the context, and recognizing when a player's poised to pop off. And Green? He's ready to light up the scoreboard. Place your bets, folks.