The AFC West underwent tons of changes this offseason. But the in-season results currently remain the same. The Kansas City Chiefs are the division's only team to have a winning record through Week 3. The LAs Vegas Raiders and Los Angeles Chargers both sit at 1-2, and the Denver Broncos look like one of the worst teams in recent memory. Apparently, all that Russell Wilson cares about though is having a good story.
Russell Wilson talks about how everyone wants the perfect story but there’s always a bunch of ups and downs 🙌 pic.twitter.com/XrPCyn9h5Q— DNVR Broncos (@DNVR_Broncos) September 27, 2023
The regular season marches on though. Here is how I predict the AFC West will perform this week in their respective games.
Denver Broncos vs. Chicago Bears
Looking ahead to this week's NFL game between two teams with a record of 0-3, it may not be the most entertaining match-up. Both teams have suffered significant losses against AFC opponents and have little to gain except for improving their draft position. Last week, the Denver defense allowed 10 touchdowns, the most in a game since 1966. While the Bears' offense may not be as strong as Miami's, this game is likely to be more focused on offense. However, it may not be an enjoyable game to watch.
As of Saturday afternoon, the Broncos are slightly favored to win, and many believe they will do so easily. Although the 3.5-point spread may be concerning, the Broncos' offense is expected to outperform Chicago's. Both teams have seven overs and three under in their past ten games. The two defenses may be bad enough to allow another over this week.
O/U: O46.5 (-110)
ATS: Denver -3.5 (-105)
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers
The only matchup entirely within the AFC West, one of these teams will finally move back to .500. The Chargers have already scored 86 points in three games, but also allowed 87 points in that same span. The Raiders offense is pretty abysmal, relying too much on an invisible ground game and Davante Adams. The Chargers usually find a way to lose though, so never count on them as the favorites.
As of Saturday afternoon, Los Angeles is the heavy betting favorite. I am wary, but the Chargers usually perform well as the home favorite. The 5-point spread gives me cause for concern, but I am trusting the model on this one. I love the value of this over, bumping up to an alternate 49.5 line.
ML: Los Angeles (-225)
O/U: O49.5 (+100)
ATS: Los Angeles -5.5 (+100)
Kansas City Chiefs vs. New York Jets
The Kansas City Chiefs and New York Jets will face off in a Week 4 NFL matchup on Sunday Night Football. The Chiefs are the defending AFC champions and are one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl this season. The Jets are a young and rebuilding team, floundering without Aaron Rodgers.
The Jets' defense is improved from last season, but they are still likely to be overmatched by the Chiefs' offense. The Chiefs have a lot of ways to score, and they are very difficult to defend. I still think the Chiefs are the clear favorites to win this game.
ML: Kansas City (-400)
O/U: O44 (+123)
ATS: Kansas City -9 (+100)