Betting on the over for Joe Burrow's passing attempts against the Titans' shaky secondary seems like a smart play.

The calf injury didn't stop Burrow from throwing the ball 49 times in their recent victory over the Rams. With the Bengals' penchant for throwing the football (they are second in the league in passing attempts), it seems like Burrow will continue to be the focal point of their offense.

On the flip side, the Tennessee Titans' defense has been struggling, especially against the pass. They rank poorly in several defensive categories: they've allowed the sixth-most 20+ yard passes and have the fourth-highest yards per pass attempt. These stats are music to the ears of any quarterback, but especially one who loves to air it out like Burrow.

The Titans have also shown they are a capable defence against the run game, making it likely that the Bengals will lean on their aerial attack even more. The Titans' lack of a pass rush should provide Burrow with ample time in the pocket, leading to more passing attempts. 

Burrow's Recent Trends 📈

Over his last 20 games, he's averaged 37.63 passing attempts, hitting over 36.5 in nine of those outings. In his last 10, he's averaged 38.2 attempts and exceeded 36.5 in six games. In his last five games, that average has jumped to 40.6, with three of those games seeing more than 36.5 attempts. He's trending upward, which bodes well for those betting on the over.

The only time Burrow faced the Titans, he averaged 37.0 passing attempts, further supporting the notion of him airing it out against this defense. Given the Titans' secondary woes, Burrow's upward trend, and Cincinnati's pass-happy offense, it seems likely that Burrow will exceed the 36.5 passing attempts line.