Pick 4: BTTS (1.72 at Bet365)

Risk 1 unit

Despite UCL starting, I'm looking at England Championship for my 4th pick this week. Call me crazy.

Cardiff and Coventry are at lower half currently, and looking at the league that's realistic, but I do give slight advantage to Cardiff here.

Looking at their H2H, this pick kind of doesn't make sense, but I'm taking this as we've seen trend of BTTS lately with both teams.

Cardiff at home has seen BTTS in 2 out of last 3 matches, as they managed to get a clean sheet against Swansea.

On the other side, Coventry on the road has seen 3 out of 3 BTTS. 

Also, it's not like these teams don't attack and shoot. Cardiff at home registered 23 shots per game on average (12 for, 11 against), and 5 shots on target for per game on average.

Coventry puts up even more shots per game on the record sheet (28 per game on average), 13 for, 15 against. Out of those 13, 3.33 are shots on target on average.

Shots and offense is there, but they do lack effectiveness, so by a sheer volume we should see both of these teams scoring at least once.

Expecting a bit slower start here, but should pick up pace in late 1st half and 2nd half.