Pick: kershaw under 6.5 strikeouts 


Expect Clayton Kershaw to struggle with strikeouts against the red-hot Los Angeles Angels, making the under 6.5 Ks a solid bet for tonight's MLB showdown. 

As a three-time Cy Young winner and former MVP, Clayton Kershaw has a reputation for being a dominant force on the mound. However, tonight's matchup against the Los Angeles Angels might not be as easy for the southpaw, and here's why I'm confidently picking the under on Kershaw's 6.5 pitching strikeouts.

First, let's look at some recent trends with the Angels' offense. They've been on fire lately, posting the third-highest OPS in the league over the past week (.835), and have struck out just 8.8 times per game during that span. This means that the Angels' bats are heating up, and their discipline at the plate could pose a challenge for Kershaw.

Now, let's break down Kershaw's strikeout numbers this season. He's averaging 7.0 Ks per game, with 8.0 at home, but only 6.25 on the road. The fact that this game is being played at Angel Stadium could be a significant factor in Kershaw's performance. Additionally, Kershaw has had more than 6.5 strikeouts in 8 games this season and less than 6.5 strikeouts in 6 games, showing inconsistency in his strikeout totals.

It's also essential to consider Kershaw's recent trends. Over the last 20 games, he's averaged 7.0 strikeouts, with more than 6.5 strikeouts in 8 games. In the last 10 games, he's averaged 7.2 strikeouts and had more than 6.5 strikeouts in 6 games. However, over the last 5 games, he's averaged 7.0 strikeouts and had more than 6.5 strikeouts in only 2 games. This indicates that Kershaw's strikeout numbers are trending downwards, which could be a red flag heading into tonight's game.

Now, let's take a closer look at Kershaw's home and road splits. As mentioned earlier, the veteran lefty has a higher strikeout rate at Dodger Stadium, with 11.7 Ks per nine innings. But on the road, that number dips to 7.9 Ks per nine innings. This disparity suggests that Kershaw may struggle away from his home field, and with tonight's game being played in Anaheim, it's another factor pointing towards the under on his strikeout total.

The Angels' lineup has been particularly tough on opposing pitchers recently, with the third-fewest strikeouts per game over the last 15 days. They demonstrated their ability to limit strikeouts in Monday night's 9-1 victory over the Arizona Diamondbacks, striking out just three times against Corbin Burnes. This performance highlights the Angels' recent success at the plate and should be a concern for Kershaw and his strikeout potential.

Considering all these factors, it's clear that the Angels' hot bats and Kershaw's recent downward trend in strikeouts make the under 6.5 Ks a compelling bet for tonight's game. While it's never easy to bet against a pitcher of Kershaw's caliber, the stats and trends point towards a challenging night for the Dodgers' ace when it comes to racking up strikeouts.

Take the under on Kershaw’s strikeouts and let’s meet at the bank