Entree (1u) - Texas Rangers OVER 2.5 F5 Team Total (-125 DK)

It's a nice feeling when you see Ken Waldichuk going up against a team that is really good at scoring runs, especially within the first 5 innings. You're looking at the Texas Rangers who are currently leading the MLB in runs scored in the first 5 innings and they're facing a pitcher, who has made it to 5 innings in 6 out of his 7 starts. If he doesn't make it to 5 innings, it's more than likely meant the Rangers have made him work and scored quick runs. Only other real possibility would be due to injury. Either way, if he gets replaced, it's not by anybody better.

Waldichuk has allowed 29 in 7 starts this season. He shut down the Cubs and allowed 0 runs by them but in his other 6 starts, he's allowed at least 3 runs or more. The Rangers come into this game ranked 3rd in both weighted runs created and on-base percentage. Waldichuk has a low k per inning (41st percentile). He also is only 54th percentile in swinging strike percentage and 17th percentile in called strike plus whiff rate. He's got an overall 19.9 strikeout rate, which is low. Rangers do strikeout a lot at a 23.9% rate but the matchups he will see tonight should benefit the Rangers hitters more than Waldichuk pitching.

Waldichuk should see 8 right handed batters and one left hander. He's allowed a .401 wOBA and a .297 ISO in 260 plate appearances versus right handed batters in his career. The Rangers have 5 batters with a .190 ISO or better versus left handed pitchers and everyone but their 9th batter has at least a .300 wOBA average or better versus lefties. Three batters are higher than .350 range and one is over .400, which is Josh Jung. The Rangers are definitely a better scoring team at home but they're still average 3.11 runs per game in the first 5 innings on the road. The A's allow the most runs in the first 5 innings this season with 4.36 a game. I don't expect the Rangers to struggle tonight to grab runs against a BAD Oakland Athletics team and a struggling pitcher in Waldichuk.