Entree (1u) - CHI Cubs OVER 1.5 F5 Team Total / New York Mets +3.5 (-128 DK)

There is only one sport that i'll bet my favorite team and have 1000% confidence in them to cash for me. That's baseball and that's the Chicago Cubs. They've started out the year as one of the best offenses after adding quite a few good sluggers this offense and a FANTASTIC infield pairing for Nico Hoerner with Dansby Swanson. They're 8th in the MLB in runs per game in the first 5 innings with 3.05. They face the Padres tonight in Chicago at Wrigley Field, where they average 3.36 runs per game in the first 5 innings.

The pitcher on the mound tonight for the Padres is Michael Wacha. The Cubs are without Cody Bellinger as he has been placed on the paternity list. However, the Cubs normally tend to have a batting order filled with righties and that's where Wacha struggles the most. He's allowing a .329 weighted on-base average and a .196 ISO to righties. The Cubs have announced their lineup and they will have 7 batters facing him right handed. He's got a low 20.1% strikeout percentage overall but a 179 strikeout percentage versus righties.

Wacha has started this season allowing 16 runs in 4 starts with 3 of those starts allowing 4 or more runs. The Cubs are 6th in weighted runs created and 2nd in on-base percentage versus right handed pitchers. Like mentioned before, Wacha is 22nd percentile in strikeouts per inning and in the 28th percentile for swinging strike percentage. He should struggle tonight versus the Cubs and I'm only asking for 2 runs from this slugging Cubs lineup.