Entrée (1u) - Chicago Cubs F5 -0.5 (-120 MGM)

Some of you might not know but the Cubs have been one of the best scoring teams in baseball through 15 games. They average 3 runs in the first 5 innings on the road, but average 2.93 overall. They are third in the MLB in runs scored per game at 5.53 and that has a lot to do with the well balanced offensive players like Hoerner, Swanson, Happ, Bellinger, and they've recently seen a surge from Patrick Wisdom, while welcoming the return of Seiya Suzuki. They average 6.67 runs on the road this season, which is 1.1 runs more than the overall average runs per game. Cubs are coming off a 10-1 win versus the Athletics, which you might think this is a trap game for the no so great Cubs team, but the matchup they get on the mound can't be ignored.

The Cubs will bat versus Ken Waldichuk, who has STRUGGLED in his first few starts in the majors. He's allowed 17 runs in 3 starts and has allowed 22 hits, while only recording 11 strikeouts. He's 41st percentile in strikeouts per inning, 54th percentile in swinging strike percentage, and he's a low 17th percentile in called strike plus whiff rate. The Cubs are 7th in strikeouts percentage to start the season but their projected lineup should see a majority of batters being right-handed. Waldichuk has allowed a .357 batting average to righties and a .481 weighted on-base average. He's also got an extremely low strikeout percentage vs righties at 14.1% and his xFIP is 6, which is expected runs allowed versus righties.

I attacked a first 5 play last week with Waldichuk when he faced the Orioles because who doesn't love to bet runs for the Orioles and my favorite team, the Cubs, should absolutely crush the Athletics tonight, just like they did last night.