Despite recent trends, Austin Riley's track record and home game advantage make him a solid bet for over 1.5 total bases in the upcoming Atlanta-San Diego matchup.
In the world of MLB betting, Austin Riley has proven to be a bit of a roller coaster in this young season, but that doesn't mean we should shy away from taking a chance on the Atlanta Braves' third baseman. With a showdown against the San Diego Padres looming, it's time to take a closer look at Riley's performance and why we're picking the over on his 1.5 total bases.
First, let's dive into Riley's overall stats this season. The 25-year-old is averaging 1.99 batting - total bases, with a notable split between his home and road performances. When playing at home, Riley's average jumps to 2.24 batting - total bases, while on the road, it dips to 1.74. This is a crucial factor to consider, as the Braves will be hosting the Padres in this upcoming game, giving Riley the home field advantage.
Now, we know what you're thinking - Riley's recent performance hasn't exactly been stellar. Over the last 20 games, he's averaged just 1.1 batting - total bases, and in the last 10 games, that number drops even further to 0.9. The last 5 games? A measly 0.2 batting - total bases. However, before you dismiss Riley as a lost cause, let's consider the bigger picture.
Throughout the season, Riley has had more than 1.5 batting - total bases in 70 games, while falling short of that mark in 93 games. While this may not seem like the most promising ratio, it's important to remember that baseball is a game of streaks and slumps. Riley's recent struggles could very well be due for a turnaround, and with the home game advantage in his favor, this could be the perfect opportunity.
Furthermore, let's take a look at Riley's performance against the Padres specifically. In 7 games against San Diego, he's averaged 1.0 batting - total bases. At first glance, this may not seem like an encouraging statistic, but if we consider that Riley's overall average is 1.99 batting - total bases, it's not far off the mark. Plus, given Riley's higher average at home, there's reason to believe he's capable of surpassing the 1.5 total bases mark in this particular matchup.
So, why are we so confident in picking the over for Austin Riley's 1.5 total bases? It all comes down to a combination of factors. Riley's home game advantage, his track record of surpassing 1.5 total bases in 70 games this season, and the unpredictable nature of baseball all contribute to our optimism. While Riley's recent performance may not inspire the utmost confidence, it's important to remember that slumps can be broken, and there's no better stage for a turnaround than a high-profile game against a formidable opponent like the Padres.
Taking Austin Riley for over 1.5 total bases in the upcoming Braves-Padres game may not be the most obvious choice, but it's a risk worth taking for those looking to bet on an exciting and potentially lucrative outcome. With the right mix of factors in play, Riley could very well defy recent trends and deliver a standout performance, making this bet one that could pay off big for those willing to take the plunge.
Pick #1 - Austin Riley o1.5 TB - available on Fanduel @ +110